Sen. Tim Scott is betting Republicans will keep the Senate majority after the midterms, but he’s not nearly as confident about the House.
Sen. Tim Scott made that split clear Tuesday, predicting GOP control will hold in the upper chamber while warning the lower chamber is shaping up to be a tougher fight.
“Republicans will stay in the majority,” Scott said during an appearance on Fox Business Network at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills.
Pressed on whether that confidence extended specifically to the Senate, Scott didn’t hesitate. “In the Senate, for sure,” he said.
Tim Scott Predicts GOP Will Hold Senate Majority, Signals Uncertainty in House
Tim Scott said Republicans are confident about retaining control of the Senate in the midterms, while acknowledging the House remains more competitive. #WashingtonEye pic.twitter.com/XcVRelN0q2
— Washington Eye (@washington_EY) May 5, 2026
Republicans currently hold a 53-47 advantage, leaving Democrats needing to flip four GOP-held seats to regain control. In the event of a 50-50 split, Vice President Vance would serve as the tiebreaker.
Scott acknowledged the path won’t be easy, describing the race as “a challenge,” but pointed to several contests he believes will break in the GOP’s favor.
In North Carolina, Scott predicted former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley will defeat former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper.
He’s also confident in Sen. Susan Collins as she seeks a sixth term in Maine, where she is expected to face Democrat Graham Platner after Gov. Janet Mills dropped out of the race.
🪖Nine battle-tested candidates are ready to strike a decisive blow — but only if they get the support they need right now. 🪖 Join the grassroots push to protect the House Majority and back them today! ➡️➡️➡️ Make a 9X impact!!! 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Scott said a string of Republican wins, including in Ohio, Alaska and Iowa, would likely secure Senate Majority Leader John Thune’s position for another term.
“You do that, we’re in the majority,” Scott said. “I think we’ll be in the majority.”
When the conversation shifted to the House, Scott’s tone changed. “Thankfully, I’m in the Senate,” he replied with a grin. “I think the House is a different story. Challenging story, without any question.”
Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-212 advantage in the House, with five vacancies split between the parties.
“We’ll see what happens there,” Scott added. “There’s a sliver of hope, but there’s a lot of firepower right now against [Republicans in] the House.”
While Scott projected confidence at the federal level, Republican primaries at the state level revealed growing consequences for candidates who break from Trump-backed positions.
At least five Indiana Republican state senators were defeated in primaries after opposing a Trump-backed redistricting plan.
The losses came after a group of lawmakers joined Democrats to block the proposal, triggering backlash that ultimately reshaped several races.
Real estate agent Blake Fiechter unseated longtime Sen. Travis Holdman, the chamber’s Majority Caucus Chair.
Trump-backed candidates also ousted several incumbents, including Greg Walker and Dan Dernulc, as well as Linda Rogers and Travis Holdman.
The results highlighted the political risks facing Republicans who diverge from Trump’s agenda, particularly in conservative states where his influence remains strong.
The primary outcomes come as key battleground races begin to take shape ahead of November.
In Ohio, voters finalized matchups across several high-profile contests, including races for the House, Senate and governor’s office.
Rep. Greg Landsman secured the Democratic nomination in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District and is set to face Republican Eric Conroy in the general election.
In the governor’s race, Republican Vivek Ramaswamy will face Democrat Amy Acton to take over for term-limited Gov. Mike DeWine.
“It is an honor, and I am proud to officially say that today it is our pleasure to become the Republican nominee for the governor of Ohio,” Ramaswamy said at his victory rally. “So, thank you, guys, for getting us to this point.”
🔴 LIVE: Primary Victory Party https://t.co/ezpdRfvLES
— Vivek Ramaswamy (@VivekGRamaswamy) May 5, 2026
“I believe we have a historic opportunity to lead Ohio, not just to be the best state in the Midwest — because we are already the best in the Midwest,” Ramaswamy added.
“We have a historic opportunity to lead Ohio to be the top state in the country — to raise a young family, to give our kids a world-class education, and to be the state where we revive this quaint idea that we call the American dream.”
Sen. Jon Husted is preparing for a closely watched race against former Sen. Sherrod Brown in one of the few contests widely seen as competitive.
As campaigns ramp up, Republicans are pointing to a financial advantage as a key factor in the fight for control of Congress.
The National Republican Congressional Committee reported $78.2 million in cash available after the first quarter, compared to $69.9 million held by its Democratic counterpart.
“The fundraising success goes beyond the NRCC, reflecting a fully aligned operation led by President Trump and House Republican leadership as well as outside partners,” the committee said in a memo.
The memo also highlighted additional resources from Trump-aligned groups, including $347 million held by MAGA Inc. and $91.4 million by the Congressional Leadership Fund.
The Republican National Committee reported more than $116 million in cash on hand, compared to $14 million held by the Democratic National Committee, according to Federal Election Commission filings.
“Republicans are in a strong financial position with six months until election day,” the memo said.
The GOP’s Senate campaign arm held about $43 million at the end of March, outpacing the roughly $36 million reported by Democrats over the same period.
Republican strategists say coordinated spending, along with increased travel by Trump and allied groups, could boost turnout and expand outreach in key battlegrounds.
“The President and his political operation are scaling up travel into key battleground states and districts, driving turnout among the Trump coalition while expanding outreach to critical swing voters who will decide the majority,” the memo said.
The Uniparty DC Swamp will help make House challenging
Pass the voting law where proof of citizenship is mandatory and the dimwit nitwits will lose everything! And if it does not pass every citizen in this country should go after the congress that is suppose to represent them. If they failed to pass this bill then they are not your representatives. Vote em OUT!