As Republicans aim to capitalize on their electoral gains and Democrats struggle to regroup, attention is already shifting to the pivotal off-year elections of 2025.
Though these races lack the scale of a presidential cycle, they carry high stakes as a barometer for America’s political future under President-elect Donald Trump’s leadership.
Here’s a breakdown of the races that will shape the political landscape and offer insights into Trump’s influence and popularity.
GOP Eyes a Breakthrough in a Blue State
Once a Democratic stronghold, New Jersey has become increasingly competitive.
Trump narrowed President Biden’s 2020 16-point victory to just 6 points in 2024, energizing Republicans to reclaim the governor’s mansion.
Trump is also expected to throw his weight into the race, making it an early reflection of sentiment toward his presidency.
Control of the Bench at Stake
Partisan control of the Wisconsin Supreme Court hangs in the balance, with the retirement of liberal Justice Ann Walsh Bradley creating an even 3-3 split.
The outcome of this race will determine the ideological makeup of the court and influence critical decisions on redistricting, abortion, and election laws.
Former Republican Attorney General Brad Schimel faces liberal candidate Judge Susan Crawford.
Schimel’s track record defending conservative policies makes this race a crucial battleground for Republicans looking to consolidate power in Wisconsin.
Testing Trump’s Coattails in Virginia
In Virginia, where Trump improved his margins in 2024, the GOP is looking to build on Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s success.
Youngkin, limited to a single term, has endorsed Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears as his successor, touting her as a champion of conservative values.
The results in Virginia’s gubernatorial race will offer insight into suburban voters’ views on Trump’s policies.
A strong Republican showing would affirm GOP momentum, while a Democratic victory could hint at waning enthusiasm for Trump’s second term.
Virginia as a GOP Firewall?
While Republicans target Virginia’s governor’s seat, the battle for the state’s House of Delegates could prove equally important.
Democrats currently hold a slim majority, but Trump’s improved performance statewide has Republicans optimistic about flipping the chamber.
A GOP win in the House would provide a check against Democratic ambitions in the state, even if the governorship changes hands.
Corruption Charges Rock NYC
New York City Mayor Eric Adams faces an uphill battle for reelection amid federal corruption charges and plummeting approval ratings.
Democrats, including Comptroller Brad Lander and state Sen. Jessica Ramos, are lining up to challenge Adams.
Meanwhile, Republicans and independents see an opening to capitalize on discontent in the nation’s largest city.
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